{"shock": "Rente", "variation": "_ufin", "synthetic": false, "definition": {"instrument": "rRenteECB", "instrumentDa": "ECB-renten", "shortDa": null, "changeDa": "+1 pct.-point (100 basispoint)", "changeSize": 1.0, "changeUnitDa": "pct.-point", "factor": 1.0, "delta": 0.01, "firstYear": 2030, "lastYear": 2129, "profileDa": "Permanent: st\u00f8det g\u00e6lder alle \u00e5r fra st\u00f8d\u00e5ret og horisonten ud.", "closureDa": "Ufinansieret: ingen skattesats reagerer. Virkningen p\u00e5 de offentlige finanser akkumulerer derfor over tid og er ikke et holdbart forl\u00f8b.", "lukningShare": null, "dreamDa": "Samme instrument, st\u00f8rrelse og st\u00f8d\u00e5r (2030) som DREAMs standardst\u00f8d \"Rente\" (rRenteECB + 0,01). Alle danske renter i MAKRO er bygget oven p\u00e5 ECB-renten (obligations-, bank- og virksomhedernes afkastkrav), s\u00e5 gennemslaget er 1:1; udenlandske priser er u\u00e6ndrede, s\u00e5 det er reelt en permanent h\u00f8jere realrente.", "seriesKey": "rRenteECB", "solver": "MAKROskops frie l\u00f8ser (Newton, fuld horisont)", "linearityDa": "M\u00e5lt p\u00e5 et 10-\u00e5rs udsnit: ved 64 pct. af st\u00f8det afviger modellen 1,1 pct. (median) fra line\u00e6r skalering; BNP 0,8 pct., besk\u00e6ftigelse 0,9 pct., boligpriser 1,8 pct., enkelte branche-serier op til 6 pct. af effekten.", "maxScale": null, "maxScaleDa": null, "explainerDa": "En varigt h\u00f8jere ECB-rente sl\u00e5r 1:1 igennem p\u00e5 alle danske renter. Dyrere l\u00e5n rammer f\u00f8rst boligmarkedet \u2014 boligpriserne falder omkring 6 pct. de f\u00f8rste \u00e5r \u2014 og dern\u00e6st forbrug og investeringer, s\u00e5 BNP ligger 1\u20131,5 pct. lavere. Besk\u00e6ftigelsen falder de f\u00f8rste par \u00e5r, indtil l\u00f8nnen har tilpasset sig og ledigheden er tilbage p\u00e5 sit strukturelle niveau. P\u00e5 langt sigt retter boligpriser og forbrug sig, mens en mindre kapitalbeholdning holder investeringer, eksport og BNP nede.", "channel": ["rRenteObl>pBolig>qC>qBNP", "rRenteObl>qI>qBNP", "qBNP>nL>ledighedsgrad>vhW>pC", "qBNP>saldo2bnp"]}, "deviations": {"qBNP": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, -0.832827, -1.09612, -1.16977, -1.17415, -1.15781, -1.14835, -1.15436, -1.17758, -1.21242, -1.25326, -1.29499, -1.33434, -1.36835, -1.39656, -1.41977, -1.43805, -1.45205, -1.46168, -1.46751, -1.47088, -1.47226, -1.47225, -1.47144, -1.46814, -1.46438, -1.45927, -1.45342, -1.44733, -1.44225, -1.43636, -1.42983, -1.42302, -1.41725, -1.40864, -1.39839, -1.39025, -1.38261, -1.37552, -1.3652, -1.35636, -1.34711, -1.33755, -1.32491, -1.31354, -1.30377, -1.29323, -1.27957, 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